KVN561: A Network-Theoretic Approach To Intelligent Road Traffic Volume Analysis And Forecasting In Klang, Malaysia

Izzah Syahirah Binti Mohamad Arif Universiti Pertahanan Nasional Malaysia

Understanding the spatial and temporal behaviour of road traffic volume

is essential for effective transportation planning and traffic monitoring,

particularly in rapidly urbanising regions such as Klang, Malaysia. This

study employs network theory to assess the importance of road traffic

volume census stations based on their temporal traffic patterns. This study

focuses on eleven Road Traffic Volume Malaysia (RTVM) census stations

in the Klang area, Selangor, using hourly traffic volume data collected over

a seven-day period.

The analysis is conducted in two main parts. Part 1 of the Thesis

investigates the role of RTVM Census Stations through a network analysis

methodology. Three types of Networks have been developed: an undirected

correlation based network, which shows the similarities between the

Traffic Volume Patterns for each station; a directed unweighted network,

which describes directional relationships between Stations; and a directed

weighted network, which reflects the volume of traffic between stations.

Centrality Measures such as Degree Centrality, Betweenness Centrality and

Closeness Centrality are then employed to help identify key stations within

a particular network structure.A combined station importance scoring

framework is then employed to synthesise results obtained from the

different network representations.

In Part II, short-term traffic volume forecasting is performed using basic

statistical time series models. According to the findings of the present

analysis, SARIMA has an advantage, in that, on average, it provides a more

accurate prediction of traffic patterns than ARIMA. The overall results

from the network analyses show that stations BR101 have consistently

emerged as the two most important census stations, regardless of which

network configuration has been tested. This study addresses limitations in

existing traffic monitoring practices by providing a systematic approach

to evaluating station importance and traffic behaviour. The findings offer

practical insights for traffic monitoring optimisation and support data-driven

decision-making in transportation planning within Klang, Malaysia.